June 27-29, 2007
Stresa (Lago Maggiore), Italy
3rd HEPEX Workshop Report PDF
Book of Abstracts PDF
Reference: Thielen., J., J. Bartholmes, and J. Schaake (Eds.) (2007) 3rd HEPEX workshop, Book of Abstracts, European Commission EUR22861EN
Workshop Pictures
Workshop agenda and presentations
27th
June 2007
| 13:30-14:00 | Welcome,
achievements
since last meeting, scope of 3rd workshop (A. de Roo, R.
Buizza, J. Schaake) PDF |
| 14:00-15:00 | Setting the
scene: User and operational perspectives
(Part 1) - The new ECMWF Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System (R. Buizza) PDF - Hydroelectric Operations - Ensemble Optimization Procedures (C. Howard) PDF - Rijnland case study: anticipatory control of a lowlying regional water system (J. Van Andel) PDF |
| 15:00-15:30 | Short
introduction of
posters - Meteorological input for hydrological ensemble forecast (I. Bonta) PDF - Multiple ensemble forecasts in the operational forecasting system for the Rhine basin in Switzerland (M. Werner) PDF - Using PQPF to produce ensemble discharge forecast (R. Marty) PDF - Quality assessment of nueral networks based hydrological ensemble forecasts (M.-A. Boucher) PDF - Evaluation of the medium-range European flood forecasts for the March-April 2006 flood in the Morava River (M. Kalas) PDF - Recent advances in data assimilation and post-processing in operational ensemble flood forecasting (P. Reggiani) PDF - Experimental ensemble forecasts of precipitation based on a convective-resolving model (C. Gebhardt) PDF |
| 16:00-16:40 | Setting the
scene: User
and operational perspectives (Part 2) - Increasing flood warning time on European scale (J. Thielen) PDF - Moving toward operational hydrologic ensemble forecasts (R. Hartman) PDF |
| 16:40-17:00 | Plenary discussion on User&OP perspectives |
| 17:00-18:00 | Review of test
bed
Projects (Part 1) - Short- and long term flood forecasting in the Rio Grande Watershed (C. Tucci) PDF - Bias-correction in the Po river basin (P. Salomon) PDF - Status of the Great Lakes testbed project (V. Fortin) PDF |
| 18:00-18:30 | Plenary discussion |
| 09:00-10:00 |
Review of Testbed Projects
(Part 2) - Improving precipitation
generation for
seasonal hydrological prediction (E. Wood) PDF -Correcting errors in streamflow
forecast
ensemble mean and spread (A. Wood) PDF |
| 10:00-10:30 | Plenary
discussion on test
bed results |
| 11:15-11:30 |
Science: Observations and
data assimilation (Part 1) |
| 11:30-12:15 |
Science: Application of
atmospheric forecasts (Part 2) - Downscaling global medium range
meteorological predictions for flood prediction (N. Voisin) PDF - Analog based post-processing of
meteorological forecasts for basinwide PQPF’s: principles and
operational aspects (C. Obled) PDF |
| 13:30-14:00 |
Science: Hydrologic
uncertainty (Part 3) - Assessing
operational
forecasting skill of the EFAS (J. Bartholmes) PDF |
| 14:00-15:30 | Break out
groups GROUP A GROUP B GROUP C |
| 16:00-17:30 |
Science: Hydrologic
ensemble forecasts/systems/applications (Part 4a) - Reconciling hydrological
physically based
models and data driven models in terms of predictive probability (E.
Todini) PDF - Addressing parameter uncertainty in
regional forecast basins using similarity indices (T. Hogue) PDF - The MAP D-PHASE operations period M.
W.
Rotach PDF - Short-term streamflow prediction for
a
small midwestern watershed (K. J. Franz) PDF - Probabilistic Streamflow forecast in
Norway
(M. Morawietz) PDF |
| 17:30-18:00 | Plenary
discussion on
hydrologic ensemble forecasts |
| 18:00-18:30 | Brief summary from breakout groups |
29th June 2007
| 09:00-10:00 | Discussion on
breakout
group results |
| 10:00-10:30 |
Science: Hydrologic
ensemble forecasts/systems/applications (Part 4b) - Comparison
of
catchment and grid based model evaluation of precipitation for
hydrological applications on the example of the July/August 2002 flood
in the Danube (F. Pappenberger) PDF |
| 11:00-11:30 | - Discharge ensemble forecasts
based on the
COSMO-LEPS quantitative
precipitation by( T. Diomede) (15’) - Ensemble streamflow forecasting with the coupled GFS-NOAH modeling system (D. Hou) PDF |
| 11:30-12:00 | Plenary
discussion on hydrological ensemble forecasts/system/application |
| 13:30-14:30 | Proposal of
new HEPEX
testbeds |
| 14:30-15:00 | Summary of
workshop
results so far (J. Schaake/R. Buizza) PDF |
| 15:30-17:00 | HEPEX steering
committee
meeting - Way forward and future
directions
|
| Additional Presentations |
-Discharge ensemble forecasts based
on the COSMO-LEPS quantitative precipitation forecasts,
(T. Diomede, C. Marsigli, A. Montani, T. Paccagnella PDF -Operational Flood Forecasting for Bangladesh (T. Hopson) PDF |
This
website is being
hosted by
the Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, University of
California, Irvine