July19-22,2005
NCAR, Boulder, CO
2nd HEPEX Workshop Summary Report PDF
Workshop agenda, presentations, and working group reports
Day 1: Tuesday, 19 July
8:45 am John Schaake and Roberto Buizza: An overview of the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction EXperiment (HEPEX) PDF
SESSION 1: Weather and climate forecasting for hydrologic predictions
9:15 am Zoltan Toth and L. LeFaivre: Hydrologic applications of the North American Ensemble Forecast System PDF
9:30 am Tom Hamill and Jeff Whitaker: Using reforecasts to calibrate probabilisticweather predictions PDF
9:45 am Roberto Buizza, David Richardson, Renate Hagedorn, and Philipe Bougeault:
10:30 am Shaleen Jain and Gary T. Bates: Predictability of spring warmups, snowmelt and streamflow peaks in western
10:45 am Steve Mullen, Matt Wandishin, Mike Baldwin, and John Cortinas: Short-range
11:00 am Ray Arritt, Bill Gutowski, and E. S. Takle: Multi-model ensembles for seasonal prediction of precipitation PDF
SESSION 2: Data assimilation and modeling techniques for
1:15 pm Newsha Ajami: Confronting total uncertainty in Hydrologic Prediction: An Integrated Bayesian Multi-Model Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction System PDF
1:30 pm Milija Zupanski: Non-Gaussian error statistics and ensemble data assimilation PDF
1:45 pm Dusanka Zupanski: Can we estimate and reduce major sources of forecast uncertainties employing a unified framework?
2:00 pm Tom Hopson and P. Webster: Operational Short-term Flood Forecasting for Bangladesh: Application of ECMWF Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts PDF
2:45
pm DISCUSSION of the charge given to breakout groups WG_CHARGE
3:00
pm BREAKOUT GROUPS Day 2:
Wednesday, 20 July 8:30
am REPORTS FROM BREAKOUT GROUPS / DISCUSSION WG1 WG2 WG3 DISCUSSION 10:45
am Andrew Slater: Snow data assimilation via an ensemble Kalman filter PDF SESSION
3: Meteo- and hydrological applications 1:15
pm David Kingsmill, Brooks Martner, Jessica Lundquist,
Dave Jorgensen, Ken 1:45
pm Lifeng Luo: A realtime seasonal hydrologic forecast
system for the eastern US PDF 3:15
pm BREAKOUT GROUPS Day 3:
Thursday, 21 July 9:30 am
Andrea J. Ray and Robert S. Webb: Hydrologic
predictions in the context of regional decision support
systems: User studies PDF
11:30 am John Schaake: Ensemble Streamflow Prediction by the National
Weather Service (NWS) PDF 11:45 am M Gopalakrishna: HEPEX –
Perspectives of users and their
anticipations PDF
9:45 am Hamid Moradkhani: Another View to
Hydrologic
Ensemble Prediction via Sequential
10:30
am Jasper Vrugt: Real-time Data Assimilation for
Operational Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting PDF
1:30 pm Kevin Werner and Dave Brandon: Experimental forecast
techniques at the
2:30 pm Kristie Franz, John Schaake, Roberto Buizza, Steve Mullen
: Proposal of a THORPEX/HEPEX Hydrologic Applications Project (THEPS) PDF
8:45 am Allen Bradley and John Schaake: GAPP Ensemble
Experiments Initiative PDF
9:00 am Martyn Clark: Streamflow forecasting in
snowmelt-dominated basins PDF
9:15 am V. Fortin, A. Pietroniro and P. Pellerin: A Canadian
Community Hydrologic Prediction System PDF
9:45
am Lauren Hay, Martyn Clark, and George Leavesley:
Hydrologic Predictability in Mountainous Terrain PDF
10:30 am Andrew Wood, Theodore Bohn, Ali Akanda, and Dennis
Lettenmaier: A multimodel hydrologic ensemble for seasonal streamflow
forecasting in the western
11:15 am
Balaji Rajagopalan, Martyn Clark, Katrina Grantz,
Satish Regonda:
Day 4: Friday, 22 July: Special
HEPEX planning meeting
Posters:
M.
Saïd, A.-C. Favre, H.
Massé, V. Fortin, L. Perreault, N.
Evora: Using Bayesian Model Averaging to calibrate meteorological
forecast ensembles: Application to the forecasts of Environment Canada PDF
Luc Perreault, Noël
Dacruz Evora, Anne-Catherine Favre, and
Vincent Fortin: Experimenting calibration methods on Canadian
meteorological ensemble forecasts for uncertainty assessment of
Hydro-Quebec streamflow predictions PDF
Allen Bradley, Anton Kruger,
and Stuart Schwartz : Verification of AHPS
Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for the North Central River Forecast
Center PDF
Huiling Yuan: Calibration of
Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation
Forecasts from the NCEP RSM system over Hydrologic Regions PDF
Kristie Franz: Snow model
evaluations for
ensemble streamflow forecasting PDF
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