1st Workshop on the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX)

March 8-10, 2004, ECMWF, Reading

 
Between 8 and 10 March ECMWF hosted the International Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX) Workshop. The workshop was organized under the auspicies and with the help of NOAA, ECMWF, WCRP/GEWEX, IAHS/PUB and WMO/HWR.

Documentation

Proposal for an international Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX)

Agenda

List of attendees

1st Workshop Summary Report     HTML


   

Presentations and Abstracts

Session 1 - Introduction

Roberto Buizza and John Schaake Introductions and Workshop Objectives
Soroosh Sorooshian Introduction to HEPEX  

Session 2 - User Perspectives

Paolo Reggaini The European Flood Forecasting System
Martin Best Ensemble-based predictions of climate
Rob Hartman Operational hydrologic ensemble forecasting
Chuck Howard Ensemble optimization for hydroelectric operations - abstract
Richard Mueller New York Power Authority Niagara Power Project
Eric Weiss BC Hydro ESP forecasting
Noël Dacruz Evora Hydro Quebec
Pierre Bernard Hydrometeorological forecasts for hydropower generation

Session 3 - Organizational Perspectives: Very brief statements concerning possible organizational interest in HEPEX
Soroosh Sorooshian Some Thoughts About Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX)
Jim Wallace IAHS/PUB  
Alan Hall AHS/GEWEX/WRAP
Jin Huang GEWEX/GAPP
Wolfgang Grabs WMO  
Philippe Bougeault ECMWF  
Christa Peters-Lidard NASA
John Schaake NOAA/NWS/AHPS
Richard Mueller Canadian WMIG
Rick Hooper CUASHI  
Zoltan Toth THORPEX/WWRP
Bob Gall USWRP

Session 4 - Weather and Climate Ensemble Prediction
Tom Hamill Introduction to Ensemble Forecasting
Roberto Buizza Flood prediction with the ECMWF EPS
Zoltan Toth NCEP Ensemble Prediction
Brian Golding Hydrological ensemble forecasting at the Met Office
Per Kallberg SMHI
Steve Mullen Assessment of Ensemble Forecasts
Ad de Roo Ensemble forecasts in the European Flood Alert System
Chiara Marsigli COSMO-LEPS Ensemble Prediction System
Anna Ghelli Precipitation verification
Glenn Shutts Parmeterization of moist processes
Gilbert Brunet Canada's Meteorological Ensemble Prediction System
Tim Palmer Operational short-term flood forecasting for Bangladesh

Session 5 - Hydological Ensemble Prediction
Rob Hartman Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasting
Paolo Reggiani Results of the EFFS Project
Bob Moore CEH Ensemble hydrological forecasting
Hoshin Gupta Hydrologic forecast model uncertainty issues
Christa Peters-Lidard GSFC's land data assimilation systems
Dag Lohmann Land data assimilation at NCEP
Andy Wood Seasonal hydrological forecast system for the Western U.S.
Gabor Balint Case studies of the August 2002 Danube flood
Pedro Viterbo Ensemble forecasts for the Po Basin Flood of 2000
Allen Bradley Ensemble forecast verification
Bob Gall USWRP and HEPEX

Working Group Reports
Working group introductions
Group 1
 Meteorological Aspects of Ensemble Prediction
Group 2
 Hydrological Aspects of Ensemble Prediction
Group 3
 Data Assimilation
Group 4
 Hydrological Modeling
Group 5
 User roles in HEPEX
Group 6
 Community hydrological prediction system (CHPS)
Group 7
 Organization of framework for HEPEX
Group 8
 Contributions and future activities
Group 9
 Science and implementation strategies
Group 10
 Education/user applications/product development

Miscellaneous presentations
Group 1: Meteorological Aspects of Ensemble Prediction
Daniel Schertzer
 Quantifying EPS forecast skill
Group 2 Hydrological Aspects of Ensemble Prediction
Barbro Johansson Hydrological ensemble prediction plans at the SMHI
Emmanuel Roulin Hydrological ensemble forecasts for Belgium
Peter Krahe Use of ensemble forecasts for flood warning in Central Europe
Günter Blöschl Operational flood forecasting system in Lower Austria
Kristie Franz Ensemble forecast verification
Ezio Todini Bayesian combination of analogs and ensemble forecasts
Jost von Hardenberg Evaluation of uncertainty propagation
Group 3 Data Assimilation
Group 4 - Hydrological Modeling
Praveen Kumar Identification of parameter dominance
Eric Gaume Choice of rainfall-runoff
Michele Ferri Geomorphologic - MonteCarlo models of hydrologic response
Florence Habets Monitoring of the water budget over France
Thian Yew Gan Non-stationary and non-linear analysis, and prediction of hydroclimatic variables of Africa
Paolo Reggiani Representative elementary watershed modeling
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